Horse Racing

24/9/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Rosehill, Golden Rose day


Group l racing returns to Rosehill on Saturday, with a cracking Golden Rose (1400m) the feature across a ten event meeting. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Golden Rose 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Golden Rose

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Race 1. (11:55) Tab Highway Hcp (C2) 1500m

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Back Me

I am convinced that 1 Jalmari (Bet Now: $12.00 TOP ODDS) is flying. He was excellent against the pattern two back at Randwick behind Opal Ridge before backing up a week later where the race shape was clearly against him but was good late behind Xtra Approval. Hard fit now and up to 1500m, hopefully with a more genuine tempo, he’ll take beating.

Danger

4 Airliner (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS) has only won the one race but he is a horse with talent I feel. Broke the maiden tag two back at Kembla before going to the Highway here a fortnight back where he was near last in the run and never a factor but was very good late in the piece behind Xtra Approval. If he can settle closer in the run, he’ll be dangerous.

Long Shot

5 Ribeauville (Bet Now: $16.00 TOP ODDS) can improve. Two he won over the mile at Wagga before coming back to 1400m here and was solid without jumping up and down behind Xtra Approval, with a race shape not really suiting him. Back up in trip now, I think he’s in with a shout at a price.

Race 2. (12:30) Midway (Bm72) 1300m

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Back Me

3 Mayrose (Bet Now: $9.50 TOP ODDS) is a great each way bet IMO. John Sargent trained mare that ran in the Kipsbay Midway from two weeks ago where she was dragged back to last from the wide gate and was never a factor but was very good late in defeat. Jockey upgrade IMO and draws to settle 5-6 lengths closer in the run. Has to be the bet.

Danger

I’ve been keen on 2 Oakfield Duke (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) as a Four Pillars horse, so keen to see how he goes at this level. He has won four on the bounce, the latest coming on Wyong Cup Day when wide throughout but class came to the fore and he was too good. If he can stretch his brilliance out beyond a sprint trip, they’re cooking with gas.

Long Shot

13 Verbek (Bet Now: $12.00 TOP ODDS) is another improver at odds. He resumed in the Kipsbay Midway and was simialr to Mayrose. Back near last, spotted those in front way too much head start, but closed off with real purpose. Blake Shinn on from a good draw, he’s right in the mix here.

Race 3. (13:05) Cleanaway (Bm88) 1900m

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Back Me

11 Hameron (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) to bounce back. Like most, I was keen on him when he raced two weeks ago here, but I reckon Bowman just rode him a touch cute. He is a one paced type that needs to build the revs but he just waited a bit too long to get going. He was was left flat footed but surged again late, just missing out on the win behind Pink Ivory. Ridden better, I think he’ll bounce back.

Danger

6 Wicklow (Bet Now: $3.50 TOP ODDS) looks the one to beat. He ran over the Randwick mile three weeks ago and I think he should have won. Had zero luck in the straight, with Avdulla trying to find clear air, but it just didn’t eventuate. That was his first run in several weeks so you’d like to think there is good upside to come.

Long Shot

12 Quality Time (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) rises a fair bit in grade/depth for Chris Waller but comes here in ripping form. Just missed out on the win two back on the Kenso before going to Canterbury where Gibbons took control in front and gave nothing else a look in, spanking them. Harder here, but in form and down in the weights, he can measure up.

Race 4. (13:40) Colin Stephen Qlty 2400m

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Back Me

It’s hard to get away from 1 Cadre Du Noir (Bet Now: $2.35 TOP ODDS). Maher/Eustace trained import that is seemingly getting better with racing and time. Got control in front three weeks ago at Randwick and he gave nothing else a look in, spanking his rivals by a space. Heading in the right direction and can win again.

Danger

5 Herman Hesse (Bet Now: $4.50 TOP ODDS) is hit and miss but if he runs up to his last start win here, he’ll take beating. Collett rode him positively from the outset and as the race went on, he got better and spanked them. Down in the weights and with these Maher/Eustace stayers, once they find form, they hold it.

Long Shot

2 Attorney (Bet Now: $34.00 TOP ODDS) should appreciate a firmer deck, hopefully. The track was testing three weeks back at Randwick and he couldn’t pick his feet up, finishing tailed off last. Firmer the better for him and he does have a good record at Rosehill, so I think he can improve here at odds.

Race 5. (14:15) City Tattersalls Group (Bm88) 1400m

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Back Me

I like 15 Narrated (Bet Now: $10.00) here. Thrown in the deep end last start in the Rowley Mile when on speed and just lacked the change up speed to go with them but was far from disgraced behind Skyman. Tick over trial was a good piece of work and with only 52kg on her back, gee I think she’ll run a positive race.

Danger

2 Puntura (Bet Now: $7.00) will be in front and gets T Clark, so that set up looks perfect. This guy was backed with confidence two weeks ago at Doomben where he was on speed, chasing, and fought on bravely, but the horse that had the suck run, Tumbler Ridge, finished best. In front and with control, he’ll take beating.

Long Shot

10 Solar Apex (Bet Now: $16.00) is a son of Deep Impact for Chris Waller that resumes and is a bomb fresh. He hasn’t raced since July 10 when second in the South Grafton Cup, a Big Dance Qualifier, so potentially could be heading down that path. One soft trial to get ready, his fresh record keeps him in the mix.

Race 6. (14:50) Heritage Stakes 1100m

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Back Me

1 Best Of Bordeaux (Bet Now: $2.60) has a fair bit on these re class and I am assuming he runs here and not the Golden Rose. He led and was brave in the Run To The Rose when a fighting but welel held second to In Secret. Off that, he won’t trouble them in the Golden Rose. This looks more his level and potentially an Everest spot is on the cards if he can prove himself at the sprint trip.

Danger

3 Semillion (Bet Now: $6.50) is suited here I feel. Team Hawkes trained colt that ran against the big boys and girls in the McEwen and he was far from disgraced in defeat behind Rothfire in a race where I think the form will be strong. Back to his own age and hard fit now, he’ll take beating against these.

Long Shot

5 Economics (Bet Now: $10.00) is first up here for Annabel Neasham and commands respect. He had two runs in the Autumn to start his career, running second on debut at Muswellbrook before going to the Scone Carnival where J Mac got on in a maiden, class came to the fore and he was too good. Sharp trial win at Warwick Farm, he’ll land on the bunny and prove hard to get past.

Race 7. (15:25) Golden Pendant 1400m

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Back Me

5 Expat (Bet Now: $10.00) deserves another look. Mark Newnham trained mare that resumed in the Mona Lisa at Wyong where she was near the speed throughout and couldn’t fire late behind surprise winner Meg. Tick over trial win was strong and with a soft lead on the cards, I think she’ll run a beauty in front.

Danger

3 Jamaea (Bet Now: $9.50) is working up to a win for Team Price. Loomed like she would win the Theo Marks two weeks ago but she couldn’t quite get there and just battled away when a close up fourth to Kiku. If this was at Randwick, she’d be a good thing, but even at Rosehill, she has the runs on the board to prove hard to beat.

Long Shot

1 Nimalee (Bet Now: $6.50) has class and that will carry her a long way against these. Too bad to be true fresh in the Missile before going to the Tramway off a freshen up and ran very well on speed when third to a star, Zaaki. Trialled last week and moved well to my eye. She’s on song for this.

Race 8. (16:05) Golden Rose 1400m

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Back Me

15 She’s Extreme (Bet Now: $10.00) I’ll be backing each way because she has class, upside and will be strong late. She resumed in the Furious and she was very good against the pattern behind North Star Lass in a strong return. I think she’ll be hard to beat, especially if they ride her forward.

Danger

16 In Secret (Bet Now: $2.80) has the brilliance to blow this field away. Her change up speed was there for all to see in the Run To The Rose. She put them away quickly and got better as the race went on, so the rise to 1400m should be fine, and with her turn up speed, she’ll take beating and be strong late.

Long Shot

12 Millane (Bet Now: $34.00) should be around the mark. He was very good fresh in the Vain before going to Moonee Valley where he was wide no cover for the trip and he battled away really well behind Shalaman, who had the pattern in his corner. He’s crying out for 1400m and should be strong late.

Race 9. (16:45) Shannon Stakes 1500m

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Back Me

11 Old Flame (Bet Now: $6.00) is hard to beat for Team Snowden. He is four weeks between runs since resuming with a strong win over 1400m here, just getting the better of Purple Sector, who ran well in the Bill Ritchie last Saturday, so the form reads very well. Kept on ice with the Epsom in mind, potentially, so he’s hard to beat here.

Danger

2 Ellsberg (Bet Now: $3.10) is a key threat. He resumed in the Theo Marks where they rode with a sit, and it backfired. He had zero luck in the straight when seemingly full of running but couldn’t get clear air when he wanted it before getting out, but it was too late. More positive ride, he can bounce back.

Long Shot

7 Rustic Steel (Bet Now: $7.00) can certainly take this out for Kris Lees. Trialled up really well prior to resuming in the Theo Marks where not much went his way and should have finished closer behind surprise winner Kiku. Good second up record and up to 1500m, a win wouldn’t shock at all.

Race 10. (17:25) Irresistible Pools & Spas-Bm78 1100m

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Back Me

4 Fire (Bet Now: $4.00) is a quality sprinter for Team Hawkes that should take beating. Four weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance where he threw the race away. He was going to put the race to bed but wandered about under pressure and threw it away when second to Monte Ditto. If he does everything right, he wins.

Danger

8 Kipsbay (Bet Now: $5.50) looks a really nice horse for Nathan Doyle. 2/2 since leaving Chris Waller. He gapped them fresh at Gosford before winning a Midway here a fortnight back where he was smashed in betting, he found the front and didn’t give anything else a look in. If he runs up to that here, he’ll go close.

Long Shot

17 Plymstock (Bet Now: $10.00) is a quality filly for James Cummings that resumes and we know this stable love to target these second/third tier Blacktype races so whether she runs here or the Heritage remains to be seen. She resumes, having not raced since the Bill Carter during the Brisbane Carnival when far from disgraced in defeat behind Stroll. Short course is her go and her recent Warwick Farm trial was a lovely piece of work. Hard to beat.

BEST BET: Race Ten Number 4 Fire

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 11 Hameron

LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 3 Mayrose

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 8

Leg Two: 7, 12, 15, 16

Leg Three: 2, 7, 10, 11, 13

Leg Four: 4

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