Horse Racing

9/23/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Moonee Valley, Moir Stakes night


The 2022/23 night racing season in Moonee Valley will kick off this Friday night where it’s Moir Stakes Night. The weather is good, the rails are soft (7) and the rails are in the real position for the whole circuit.

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Race 1. (18:15) Kitchen glass panel 1200m

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Back to me

1 El Padrino (Bet now: $4.50) respect commands. The foal trainer Maher/Eustace went on to compete in McKenzie a few weeks ago, where he hit near-through speed and fought very well, finishing in third place behind his stablemate Fast Witness. Does that run under the wire, which will give him a good chance of this.

Danger

2 Shalaman (Bet now: $3.80) enjoyed The Valley and had to speed up. He got his corner model on this track/disappointment last time and duly saluted, taking the lead during a powerful performance. There’s more depth here and the last part will check, but he’ll give a great vision.

Long shot

5 sandpaper (Bet now: $13.00) is the son of Snitzel, who served for James Cummings. He had two prep runs for the Brisbane Winter, continuing with a solid effort from behind the Swiss Exile in Champagne before heading to Phoneix, where he failed to fire a single shot after the Political Debate. . The lead tests went well and J Mac continued, he is in the mix.

Race 2. (18:45) Scarborough Road 1200m

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Back to me

1 Ojai (Bet now: $8.50) is the bet for me. Dirty-trained James Cummings had twice run away from a spell. Continue with a close second in Quezette at Caulfield before heading to Cap D’Antibes at Flemington, where she’s not having much luck at a crucial stage in a run for forgiveness. Drawn to sit out a good speed, she can bounce.

Danger

7 English Riviera (Bet now: $3.70) will be close to the speed and hard to run down. Killed the new maiden on Synthesis at Ballarat. Then she went to Cap D’Antibes. She was close to speed and fought hard, only to be run down late when she finished fourth. If she can get ahead and gain some form of control, she will be defeated.

Long shot

9 Ghaanati (Bet now: $9.50) was hailed as a Thousand Guineas winner after her first win. She hasn’t moved on with it since but I think she has a reason, to an extent. Just got lost in Caulfield and ran down late. Cap D’Antibes, she was late at the start and I think that kept her out of her game. Blinking and being enticed to do nothing, she might give back.

Circuit 3. (19:15) Sign Msc (Bm84) 1200m

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Back to me

3 Clemenceau (Bet now: $2.30) has another chance. I think Pike was overtaken by Bowman when he went on to play at Rosehill two weeks ago. It just took him a moment to get in the air, Bowman and Remarque went around with momentum and that’s the difference between winning and losing IMO. He’s a talented horse that’s on the right track and hard to beat.

Danger

8 Zethus (Bet now: $7.50) is a very interesting runner. The return for James Cummings came as an end after promising a fair bit of justice early on in his career, but he was unable to put it all together. Haven’t raced since the track attempt in Gold Coast Guineas in May but his testing work has been strong and door one, J Kah, he’s a clear threat.

Long shot

5 Pioneer River (Bet now: $7.50) will stay close to speed and beat. He ran a few weeks back to Randwick, where he was riding aggressively throughout and unleashed a solid kick but was unable to complete it as he finished second behind Hell I Am. The form around him reads well and just needs to keep his form to gain around the point.

Race 4. (19:45) Stutt bet 1600m

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Back to me

4 Tijuana (Bet now: $2.90) looks the most obvious. Team Hayes trained the strong pony in two back runs after a spell, each set. Continue with a third for Jacquinot in McNeil at Caulfield before heading to Flemington, where he was pretty late finishing third in Berkeley Square. Fitness now and for miles, it’s all about him IMO.

Danger

1 Let’srollthedice (Bet now: $10.00) is a great price for a quality horse. The new pass is definitely here after Fast Witness. Then he went to Exford in Flemington and got out of luck just as there seemed to be a lot to offer so a complete pardon behind Berkeley Square. Get miles, headgear to sharpen him and if portal one is used to his advantage, he’ll be quite dangerous.

Long shot

11 Poison Chalice (Bet now: $101.00) looks a horse wants 2000m horse. He won’t beat these, I don’t think but for a sneaky first four bet, I’ll include him. He was unsheltered when he debuted at Geelong and the tough run was said to be late in placing fourth, but full of achievements. The stables are doing badly but it’s been a long time since Yendall is back. Keep an eye on him.

Race 5. (20:15) Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge 955m

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Back to me

IMO, 8 Asfoora (Bet now: $2.60) is a Stakes and she is a very keen sprinter so the 955m here looks ideal. Continue over 1000m at Sandown, where she creates an electric shift that increases speed and she beats them in such an impressive comeback. Only have to hold that to win this.

Danger

7 Rose Quartz (Bet now: $5.50) is a talented mare for the re-opening Grahame Begg camp. She had a very well-prepared fall, ending with a split second in the straight from Flemington to Bermadez. Her best was going down the straight line but made around a bend and ideally mapped from the gate.

Long shot

3 Sartorial Splendor (Bet now: $26.00) will jump on the rabbit and give the cheek. He did it in the Regal Roller a few weeks back in Caulfield and only felt a grip at the end of the 1200m down the track behind Uncommon James. I like 955m, and with hard work, good racing form, he can take the first four places.

Circuit 6. (20:45) Jra Cup 2040m

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Back to me

I was really surprised that all the 11 dollars were given to 4 amazing houses (Bet now: $3.60) because I think he’s got a bit of this stuff if he’s willing to go, which I think he’s doing. He continued to work at Flemington and was one of the highlights of the meeting as he came close to third in front of the impressive wine Makram. J Mac about signaling intent, and he just needs luck from the gate to win this IMO.

Danger

7 Makram (Bet now: $3.60) was back on track. Jury was absent after a very simple comeback but he came back significantly at Flemington when fitter, up in the trip and he was too good for them. Likely on the Caulfield Cup path and winning here would guarantee him a candidate spot. Order of respect.

Long shot

3 Persian (Bet now: $12.00) has classes if he’s ready to go but I think this is a prep run. However, he is the winner at the track and has a Maher/Eustace hit point so I don’t approve of him. He’s back in Flemington and it’s okay to be late without threatening Makram behind his back. Fitter and up to 2040m, he can be a big improviser.

Race 7. (21:15) Moir Stakes 1000m

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Back to me

3 Rothfire (Bet now: $4.40) is the map horse. He got the ideal map in McEwen and was impressed wearing Zoustyle, who has a track pattern in his corner. I believe the stables are honing this and the Manikato, so there’s a plan in place and he’ll run out of the race. Hard to beat.

Danger

6 generations (Bet now: $9.00) has been a few weeks between runs for the Maher/Eustace camp since resuming at this track/distance where he was at speed and fighting strong, kicking, but was blocked late by the Queensland driver Shooting For Gold. Fitter, and I think with a rabbit to chase, he would be more effective.

Long shot

I think so 1 The Inferno (Bet now: $18.00) is a silly price. Came close in last year’s race and I think the comeback in McEwen is a beauty, hitting a fast late division pace after an early elimination. He needs a patient guide and B Shinn is the perfect reservation. I can see him sitting back and launching at these times.

Race 8. (21:45) Stake 1600m

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Back to me

Seems like a race in two but with better odds I’m leaning towards 2 Foxy Frida (Bet now: $6.50). She went on to participate in Let’s Elope in Flemington and excelled from behind, placing fourth behind Kissonallforcheeks. A good second finish and if she can settle closer in the lap, in range, I think she’ll be strong late.

Danger

1 kiss (Bet now: $2.40) there’s a bit about these if this becomes sit/sprint. Peach from Zahra saw her win Let’s Elope, sitting wide with the visor before peeling back wider and dropping down forcefully for an easy win. Her query is to go a mile, but if you can run it cheaply and don’t spend too much on gas tickets, you have a winning level and win well.

Long shot

4 Groovy Katherine Love (Bet now: $51.00) is the one I can entertain for more. She’s second here after going over the 1400m at Caulfield when she came back in sit/sprint and was unfit but picked and trailed very well behind Lady Of Honor, who ran well in Let’s Elope. Doubt she wins, but is the first four threats.

BEST Bets: Race Five Number 8 Asfoora

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 3 Clemenceau

A long shot: Race Two Number 1 Ojai

Quaddie’s Tip (Run from five to eight):

Foot One: 8

Leg two: 3, 4, 7, 8

Triple leg: 1, 2, 3, 6, 12

Leg four: twelfth

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All odds are subject to change. The odds listed as correct at the time of last update.

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