China Is Likely Registering 1 Million Covid Cases, 5,000 Deaths A Day: Report

China likely to record 1 million Covid cases, 5,000 deaths per day: Report

China is likely to experience 1 million Covid-19 infections and 5,000 virus deaths a day as the country grapples with what is believed to be the largest outbreak the world has ever seen, according to a new analysis.

The situation could be even worse for this country of 1.4 billion people. According to Airfinity Ltd., a London-based research firm that focuses on predictive health analytics and has been tracking the pandemic since it first emerged, this current wave could witness ​the daily case rate rose to 3.7 million in January. There is likely to be another surge in infections after that that will push the daily peak to 4.2 million in March, the group estimates. count.

Its pattern of size and number China’s outbreakUsing provincial data, the impact of the country’s sudden pivot from Covid Zero far outweighs government statistics.


A tourist wears protective gear at a railway station in Beijing.

Officially, China reported 2,966 new cases on Wednesday and there have been fewer than 10 deaths from Covid since early December. But that contrasts with a growing number of reports claiming hospitals are being sick. Patients are overloaded and crematoriums are operating beyond their capacity.

Changes in how governments report virus numbers are also a factor. China has largely shut down its vast network of mass testing kiosks and eliminated efforts to include individual cases in its daily statistics, leaving people to rely on rapid tests with no obligation to report. report results. The country’s health regulator has also quietly adopted a narrower definition of what counts as a Covid death – and much more selective than the one used by many Western countries – making the assessment of Realizing the damage from the current wave of infections becomes difficult.

Louise Blair, Airfinity’s head of vaccines and epidemiology, said in a statement: “These changes mean that “official data are unlikely to accurately reflect the current outbreak situation.” nationwide”. “This change could reduce mortality in China.”

Accurately grasping the Covid situation remains difficult around the world as the pivot to living with the virus means fewer countries testing more frequently. The emergence of the highly transmissible omicron variant has caused an increase in the number of infections, including in the United States, which has the highest number of daily infections to date at nearly 1.4 million. infections in January 2022. That coincides with a global figure exceeding 4 million, according to Our World in Data.

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