It’s been an exciting few months, but I’m back and ready to move on to the next phase of my career here. FOX Sports.
Our plan is to roll out weekly sports betting content during the football season and around every major sporting event.
Don’t worry, I’ll still be the old me. Well, for some of you, that might not be a good thing. But everything you’d expect in the past — selections, information, nuggets, and less-than-funny efforts — will continue to be the mainstay of my posts both in this space and on social media.
There’s really no better way to debut than to start with super bowl – something I will probably never see mine New York Jets win.
Over the past few weeks, people have asked me if I’ve been in the Super Bowl before, and the answer is yes. That game turned out to be a classic game like game Tennessee Giants‘ the Kevin Dyson wide receiver was stopped right in front of the line in Atlanta, and Saint Louis Rams, who was dubbed “The Greatest Show on Turf,” won a memorable match. So hopefully, we’ll have another unforgettable match on Sunday (6:30 p.m. ET on FOX and the FOX Sports App) between Chief of Kansas City And Philadelphia Eaglesalong with some winners, of course.
The last big note I want to leave you with is this: Every choice I make in this space will be actual bets that I make in real life. It is important for all of you to know that.
So without further ado, here are my favorite props bets (widely available), along with which side I’m betting to win them all. Good luck, and enjoy the game!
PICK: The first score will be a touchdown
These are two offenses that tend to happen for the fourth time or less, and I expect that will continue to happen during the Super Bowl.
Winning fourth place is a big part of these teams’ playoff success – especially in the case of the Eagles. If I had to choose between scoring the goal or doing it in the fourth minute and being short to start the game, I think this decision was an easy one for both coaches. And that’s based on how these teams have played in the past and their desire to draw momentum from high variance plays.
Alternatively, they may know that there may not be much fortune in this match and that scoring will be a long way off.
PICK: The first revenue is an interceptor
we have seen Patrick Mahomes sometimes trying to do too much, forced to make passes he shouldn’t be. We also saw Jalen hurts made three interceptions in the final two games of the season and struggled with accuracy in the post-season.
I think it’s more likely that we’ll see a pick before we see a lost one.
PICK: George Karlaftis the most bags (+1300)
With so much attention on the Eagles pass as well as Chris Jones And Frank Clark, we may find a good price here for others. It’s someone else Purdue rookie George Karlaftis, who can be found at +1300 for the most sacks in the game.
The Chiefs full-back has been sacked in seven of his last nine games since the regular season and has been a key part of Steve Spagnuolo’s defence. At this price, he’s definitely worth the sprinkling.
PICK: Total number of players trying to pass: Over 2.5 (+160)
This is a pleasure. Those who like this prop might think it could be Minshew gardener or Chad Henne, who replaced the injured warm-up player as the third player to make the pass. But I think that would be some kind of gimmick leading to the rack going over 2.5.
How often do we see Andy Reid with someone other than Patrick Mahomes take live photos and have the ability to throw a shovel? I think there are several paths to the number here outside of the third series QB.
PICK: Isiah Pacheco Less than 11.5 dashes and Under 49.5 yards
Mahomes seems healthier and the chiefs are capable Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kadarius Toney And Jerick McKinnon as options to carry the ball.
Pacheco only had 10 runs in the AFC Championship Game and 39 of his 95 yards before Jacksonville come on an implementation. This could be a game where Pacheco’s numbers are low.
Shannon Sharpe predicts Super Bowl LVII
Click to see who won Shannon’s Super Bowl.
PICK: Patrick Mahomes Over 18.5 yards forward and over 38.5 passes
This bet goes hand in hand with the Pacheco Under bet above. Mahomes is the best player on the pitch and if he’s close to 100%, you can bet Andy Reid is quite comfortable placing the game on his star midfielder’s shoulders.
Mahomes has exceeded 40 passes in five of the last eight games he’s played from start to finish. And he had 30 in Jaguar game despite being injured. What’s the best way to disable some of the Eagles hasty passes? Passes are almost twice as fast as a run. That game plan could also allow Mahomes to take off a few times and hit a higher-than-expected total.
PICK: Kansas City Over 2.5 sacks
For an attacking line hailed as one of the best passes in the game and a quarterback considered a runner, the Eagles certainly allow plenty of sackings – eight times this season, Hurts say was fired at least three times, and the Saints went to Minshew six times. The chief had to Joe Burrow five times in the AFC Championship Game and can apply pressure from various players.
I predict the Eagles to throw in this game are equivalent to at least three sacks.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles (6:30 p.m. ET Sunday in Arizona, FOX and FOX Sports apps)
Spread Point: Eagle -1.5 (Eagle has priority to win with more than 1.5 points, otherwise the Chief will cover)
Cash flow: Eagles -133 favorites to win (bet 10$ to win a total of 17.52$); Captain +110 weaker team to win (bet $10 to win a total of $21)
Total score over/under: 50.5 points scored by both teams combined
I might approach this game completely wrong, but I think it’s better to worry about Hurts’ shoulder than Mahomes’ ankle.
It seems everyone except Mecole Hardman will be in the Chiefs lineup. Yes, everyone is beaten at this point of the season, but Hurts hasn’t been a pitcher for deep passes since returning from a shoulder injury. Luckily, the Eagles don’t need him to be HUMAN because they already have the easiest road to the Super Bowl anyone has ever had – a New York Giants the team that, listen, great story, but not the playoff team, and San Francisco 49erswho played basically half a match with a QB that couldn’t throw.
It’s actually part of the theme of the Philly season. The Eagles linked up with the teams, annoying them and getting most of them out. However, Philadelphia also faced seven midfielders who didn’t start the team at the start of the season. The best signal callers the Philly defense has faced are 40 (Dak Prescott), 35 (Jared Goff) and 33 (Aaron Rodgers). And while Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville Jaguar Turning things around, Philadelphia faced Jacksonville in the middle of a five-game losing streak at the start of the season.
Like I said earlier, maybe I’m wrong and everyone else is right when they see this game and this Philly team. A lot of people are considering this Eagles team as one of the greatest players of all time – and maybe they are. I almost equate Philadelphia with 2013 Florida State Seminoles in college football. ACC is a bad league, but without a doubt, FSU is a great league in history. NFC hasn’t been very good this year, but that doesn’t mean the Eagles aren’t historically great – that was Sunday’s decision.
I actually find it interesting that the opening books for Kansas City are the most popular despite not knowing there are so many Sheriffs injured. Was it to attract the Eagles money in the first place, knowing that the Chiefs’ money might come late? Either way, I’m certainly not surprised that bettors flip this number so early.
Ultimately, I don’t (can’t?) want to bet on NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes. Put yourself in the shoes of the Eagles who were leading by four points with five minutes left and the guy had the ball 35 minutes into the game. It looked like the end of the game would be inevitable.
Mahomes’ only three losses in the playoffs came to New England Patriots in a classic game, in the Super Bowl against Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a patchy offensive line and last year in an amazing collapse before Cincinnati Bengals. It looks like the Bengals loss has really acted as a post-season boost for Mahomes & Co.
I’m confident the Captains will get the job done on Sunday with a Super Bowl victory.
PICK: Captain Wins Super Bowl (+110 at FOX Bets)
Chris “The Bear” Fallica has followed the sport for nearly three decades. While college football is his focus, he also enjoys NFL, Soccer, Golf, Tennis, MLB, NHL and Horse Racing, with “occasional” betting on such events. Chris recently won the inaugural Circa Football Invitational and made the Top 10 of the Golden Nugget Football Contest. He’s a multiple-time qualifier for the NHC Handicap Championship. Remember, “The less you bet, the more you lose when you win!” Follow him on Twitter @chrisfallica.
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