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COVID outbreak in China: Expert predicts more than 60% population will be infected in China over the next 90 days


The COVID The situation in China has startled everyone. Despite the high claims surrounding the ‘no COVID’ policy, the Chinese government is facing one of the worst COVID situations today.

In the midst of this situation, a tweet by Eric Feigl-Ding, an epidemiologist, is going viral.

“BURGER—Hospitals in China have been completely overwhelmed since restrictions were lifted. Epidemiologist’s estimate >60%
& 10% of Earth’s population is likely to be infected in the next 90 days. The death toll could reach millions—plural. This is just the beginning,” Eric tweeted sharing a video from a hospital.

“Doubling time in China may not be days anymore. Double time now could be “hours,” some experts say — let that be clear. It is difficult to calculate the multiplication. double is &
are in big trouble,” he wrote in another tweet.

In a series of tweets, Eric talked about the COVID situation in China, the funeral service boom, the sharp increase in the death toll, the overcrowded morgue.

Coronavirus: Hoarseness among top COVID symptoms; know more about this

BF.7 is driving COVID cases in China
BF.7, a sub-variant of BA.5, one of the most widely circulated sub-variants of Omicron, is the primary COVID strain.

The Global Times on November 10 reported that the outbreak in Beijing began on October 27. “The disease is contagious and has caused a number of related cluster infections in the city. Beijing authorities on Thursday further stepped up epidemic prevention and control work.” administration in public places, requiring those entering these places to have their temperature taken and present a negative nucleic acid certificate upon request,” the report added.

“Did you know the lungs of some elderly people are damaged? Their lungs will turn white & fester.”
Social media is flooded with videos of COVID victims. One of many such pleas was shared by Twitter account Jennifer Zeng. Recounting a young girl’s ordeal, Zeng shared: “Sorry, no time for English subtitles, but here’s a summary of what this girl in #Beijing said: On the 17th In December, my father was seriously ill. We went to 3 hospitals with no results. The 1st hospital was Trieu Duong Hospital. The minimum waiting time was 4 hours. We had to go to the 2nd hospital. It was Huayin Hospital. During my father’s infusion there, 6 people died. But they didn’t have a bed. We came back and tried to find a hospital with a bed. I went to Huayin again at night to buy medicine. I saw some old people waiting but I was afraid they would die before I could get to the hospital I went to the civil aviation hospital they were out of oxygen The doctor said your father’s illness is very bad. We don’t have a bed. You can go in to check. You don’t even have a place to stand. , let alone a bed. Go to Chaoyang hospital to check. There they have many patients. more.If someone dies, bed will be available. We have just over 10 dead today. So there are only more than 10 beds available. So there is no chance for you here. I want to save my father. No chance. Lots of old people, all waiting for a bed. Don’t say how mild your symptoms are. Do you know what the novel #coronavirus #pneumonia means? Did you know the lungs of some elderly people are damaged? Their lungs will turn white & fester. They can’t wait until the doctor can see them. They can’t wait until there’s a bed.”

“…about 200 bodies come in every day”
“…about 200 bodies go to the crematorium every day, compared with 30 or 40 bodies on a normal day. The increased workload has taken a toll on the crematorium staff, many of them. was infected with a fast-spreading virus in recent days,” ANI news agency quoted a source from Beijing Dongjiao Crematorium as saying.

Up to a million people in China could die
According to one model, China will face a COVID death toll of up to half a million by April. The number of COVID deaths is likely to reach 1.6 million deaths by the end of 2023, a model developed and regularly updated by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, Seattle estimates. .

According to Ali Mokdad, the epidemiologist involved in the model, the number of deaths in China could rise to nearly 9,000 a day by the end of March.

What can be done?
The model estimates that reintroduction of restrictions, third and fourth dose vaccination, and high-risk antiretroviral therapy for high-risk groups could reduce the number of deaths caused by the virus. COVID.

It also predicts that widespread use of masks could reduce the death toll to 230,000.

Another study that has yet to be peer-reviewed suggests that if 85% of the population gets a fourth vaccine, the increase in COVID-19 infections in China could slow.

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