The US president once again said US troops will defend Taiwan against potential Chinese aggression. Beijing can only endure such provocations for so long.
Via Timur Fomenkoa political analyst
In one interview with CBS 60 Minutes on Sunday, just before attending Queen Elizabeth II’s funeral, US President Joe Biden responded “Yes” to the question of whether American servicemen could be used to defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack.
This is not the first time Biden has made such direct comments regarding the US’s involvement in a potential conflict. This is actually the third time this year. Each time, however, the White House has come back on it stating “policy remains unchanged“Regarding the island.
But at this point, it can hardly be described as a bull that deserves to be ignored, and Beijing is no longer likely to see it that way. In their eyes, the US policy of “strategic ambiguity“It is coming to an end, with the United States making irreversible progress toward de facto support for Taiwan independence to contain China.
When the United States normalized relations with the People’s Republic of China in the 1970s and accepted “One China Policy,” Congress quickly imposed”Taiwan Relations Act” into the Presidency to legally fulfill the commitment of the United States to the island.
By declaring that the United States will support “Peaceful Unification”“But in the process, they were forced to give the island a”meant for self-defense”– the policy of strategic ambiguity was born, which is the lack of clarity about whether the US will intervene directly in the event of an unexpected occurrence.
The U.S. periodically sold weapons to the island, angering Beijing, but things remained stable for decades after a crisis in the 1990s. But now, we live in a perfect world. totally different. The United States is increasingly violating its commitment to “One China Policy” and “strategic ambiguity,“Increasingly giving unconditional support to Taiwan in order to prevent complete reunification.
While the United States continues to talk about maintaining “Current Status” it is clear that their actions have sought to completely undermine the equilibrium between the two sides by pushing Beijing into a corner.
Nancy Pelosi’s highly provocative visit, and scores of hawkish US congressmen pouring in afterwards, spoke of the US’ willingness to impose sanctions on China over Taiwan, regardless of whether it is an aggressor or not, and the introduction of the Taiwan Policy Act aims to provide billions of dollars in military aid to Taipei.
China’s stern response to these provocations, including substantial military exercises, has not discouraged the United States or caused it to rethink. Instead, events in Ukraine – where Washington backed Kiev against Russia – only encouraged the US to push the Taiwan issue further, precisely because it took sides and allowed other countries to be destroyed. while selling weapons and mass use. media coverage to market it. Now, for example, Taiwan wants to buy HIMARS launch from the US in 2023.
As a result, the United States sees a growing opportunity in its ability to deliberately incite conflict, blaming China as the aggressor. Only “clear strategy” in the US approach seems to be strategically provocative, as the US shows no interest in peace or compromise.
In this case, the US is well on its way to promoting Taiwan’s formal independence at all costs as a means of containing China. There is a widespread understanding that the US lip service for “One China Policy“Is empty, meaningless, and unnecessary. Biden’s repeated comments that the US will defend the island are only intended to undermine the remaining trust.
When this happened, Taipei also became significantly more aggressive in its efforts to provoke Beijing, claiming that the US was behind it. Since Pelosi’s visit, it’s followed by invite points of US legislators and data for a one-month period, again tying it to China.
This scenario means Beijing is essentially forced to act. What will it do in the face of such provocations as the strategic environment shrinks? How does it react to a US that is becoming more and more aggressive during the week?
China is aware that the consequences of starting a war can be catastrophic and will benefit the United States by allowing it to shape the global security landscape in its favor.
However, wars often arise out of desperation and necessity, and while Beijing tries to maintain strategic patience with Taiwan, the door to peaceful reunification is closing very much. much.
This means that a future conflict may be closer, or more likely than we think. The US of course knows that, and like its aspirations with Ukraine, it very much hopes to rally public opinion against China, force its allies to comply with all their demands and make a lot of money from it. that in the process.
The strategic ambiguity is gone, no matter how many times Biden or the White House has said, “We support the One China Policy. “ Actions speak louder than words.
The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are those of the author only and do not necessarily represent RT.