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Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan visit has left China fuming, could invasion be on the cards?


NEW DELHI: Within Minutes Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy PelosiComing Taiwan Late on Tuesday, China announced a series of drills and missile launches to encircle Taiwan from August 4-7. This was quickly followed by economic sanctions on Taiwanese agricultural goods. and import sand from China.
China has threatened “serious consequences” if Pelosi lands on Taiwan.
Ignoring all warnings, Pelosi met with President Tsai Ing-wen in Taipei on Wednesday. “Today, the world faces a choice between democracy and autocracy… America’s determination to preserve democracy, in Taiwan and around the world, is still nascent,” she said. said in a short speech during the meeting.
The visit humiliated and angered China. It has taken some strict steps against the island and may take more repressive actions, even a full-blown invasion, in the future.
Here are some steps Beijing has taken Pick:
Military maneuvers
Beijing has announced six exclusion zones encircling Taiwan to facilitate live-fire military exercises from Aug. 2-4. Some areas enter the island’s territorial waters, at risk. disrupting air and maritime traffic in the Taiwan Strait – one of the world’s busiest trade routes.

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Activities will include “routinely guided fire tests in the east seas” – or missiles – off Taiwan, PLA speak.

Sanctions
Before Pelosi landed, China banned food imports from more than 100 Taiwanese suppliers. On Wednesday, China’s Ministry of Commerce halted exports of natural sand to Taiwan without detailing, and customs officials boycotted some fish and fruit imports.
Chinese entities, companies and individuals are also prohibited from dealing with Taiwanese companies, including Speedtech Energy and Hyweb Technology.
Taiwan’s economy is export-oriented. Exports account for about 70% of total GDP. Its main export partners are China and Hong Kong (40% of the total), ASEAN countries (18.3%), USA (12%), Europe (9%), and Japan (7%). . China and Taiwan had bilateral trade of US$328.3 billion last year.

Diplomatic protest
Vice Foreign Minister of China Xie Feng summoned U.S. Ambassador Nicholas Burns on Tuesday night after Pelosi’s arrival, telling the envoy that his country “must pay the price for the mistake.”
Besides launching provocative military exercises and imposing economic sanctions, China may decide to take stronger actions:
Recall its US Ambassador
China’s US Ambassador Qin Gang, who took office last year, could be recalled. Experts say that anyway, he needs to return to China soon for the upcoming congress, creating favorable conditions for Beijing to open up. Last year, China recalled its ambassador to Lithuania after a dispute over Taiwan, and in 1995 Beijing withdrew then-US Ambassador Li Daoyu after serving as President of Taiwan. Lee visited the United States.

China has also vowed to hold tough Taiwanese “separatists” accountable and impose criminal penalties on them, the official said. Xinhua News Agency reported, citing an unnamed spokesman from the Communist Party’s Taiwan Affairs Office. It did not name anyone and it was not clear how the measure would be enforced.
Conquer a remote island

There are several islands controlled by Taiwan bordering China. China’s most provocative response would be to seize a remote island. However, experts say this is highly unlikely and there is no indication that the PLA is preparing to do so.

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However, Mr. Xi and his top military commanders may decide to blockade Taiwan’s Matsu Islands.
Matsus is home to about 13,500 people. The chain of islands and islets that hug the Chinese coast is located about 9 km off the coast of China’s Fujian province at its nearest point. Communist authorities have always considered Matsus to be part of China’s Lijiang district.
China has attacked remote islands before. During the Cold War, the PLA bombarded Taiwan’s Kinmen Islands, located just off China’s southeast coast, attracting major US military support to Taipei.
Invasion of Taiwan
Below Xi Jinping, the People’s Liberation Army had upgraded to the point where a campaign to capture Taiwan seemed more and more plausible. However, experts and officials say this scenario is highly unlikely as it would be a major drain on Beijing – both in terms of costs and casualties.

Given Taiwan’s advanced defense capabilities and the US willingness to aid Taiwan, it is unlikely that China would take such a big risk at this point.
Despite the vast military differences between the two sides, many analysts believe that Taiwan’s location, favorable terrain, and US support mean that China would find a full-blown invasion the most extreme. difficult period – and can be too expensive to maintain.

The Pentagon’s 2021 annual report on China notes that it has built the largest navy in the world by number of ships, but says that “an attempt to invade Taiwan would likely strain direct China’s armed forces and invite international intervention”.
Even as Chinese forces approach the shores of Taiwan, the difficulties of urban warfare “make an amphibious invasion of Taiwan a significant political and military risk for Xi Jinping and Chinese Communist Party,” the Pentagon report said.
However, China has embarked on modernizing its military in terms of warfare and is expected to achieve its goal by 2027.
(With input from agencies)





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